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Australia’s rapid transition from fossil fuels to renewables is necessary to reach climate goals, but the country’s grids are struggling with the variable nature of renewable energy supply. As such, curtailment, the restriction of energy output from renewable sources, has emerged as one of the primary challenges of this transition.
Curtailment occurs for two reasons: physical limitations of the grid infrastructure make it unable to take in excess energy generated by renewable sources, or economic considerations when electricity prices are too low to make energy production financially justifiable.
In either case, the outcome is the same – energy is wasted instead of being captured to be used at another time.
The primary challenge contributing to Australia's high curtailment rates is the integration of renewables outpacing grid infrastructure advancements. Although Australia leads the world in per capita rooftop solar PV concentration, with over 3.3 million households contributing to its solar power capacity, the grid's initial design wasn’t built to accommodate even a moderate amount distributed energy resources, let alone nearly one-third of the country’s households.
The intermittent nature of rooftop solar PV systems creates voltage fluctuations and frequency variations that cause instability in the grid. At the same time, these rooftop solar systems often generate more electricity than a household consumes during peak sunlight hours (around midday). The excess power flows back into the grid, creating bidirectional power flow in a system designed to be unidirectional, with power flowing from centralized generators to consumers. This also intensifies the risk of overloading local transformers and power lines during periods of high solar generation and low demand.
These technical challenges are compounded by market and regulatory obstacles, as the grid lacks advanced control systems and real-time visibility into the output of numerous small-scale generators. As such, connection processes have become convoluted, leading to approval delays for new installations. Adding to this issue, current electricity pricing structure and regulations are ever evolving to adequately support and reflect the costs and benefits of distributed solar generation.
This mismatch between renewable energy capacity growth and grid upgrades particularly pronounced in regions like Southern Australia and Western Australia, where significant grid constraints have increased the need for curtailment.
On average, residential solar systems in Australia lose 1.5 % of energy generated due to curtailment from network constraints, with some locations experiencing higher losses of up to 25% according to the University of New South Wales (UNSW). For utility-scale solar, the situation is more severe, as network curtailment is compounded by economic curtailment.
In October 2023, utility solar systems experienced a combined total of approximately 8% curtailment. Comparatively, they only achieved a 22% capacity factor, meaning there was a 3:1 ratio of energy produced compared to energy lost.
The consequences of curtailment go beyond just energy waste. The economic impact manifests in four main areas:
1. Lost revenue
Solar households and large-scale producers miss revenue opportunities and see higher electricity bills due to reliance on grid electricity during non-generating times.
2. Investment deterrents
High rates of curtailment may deter potential investors in renewable energy projects, which could indirectly exasperate the issue.
3. Decline in public support
As curtailment continues to increase electricity bills for residential customers reliant on grid activity, public support may decline for future solar projects without adequate grid infrastructure.
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To combat these effects, grids need flexible power systems that can manage renewable energy integration without the need for large amounts of curtailment.
One of the strongest ways to combat curtailment is with energy storage. For PV systems coupled with batteries, curtailment can be reduced to 0.2% of generation, compared to ~1.5% for stand-alone residential PV. Energy storage systems allow excess energy to be stored and used at times of low solar generation, thus allowing for balancing between generation and demand load profiles.
Predictive analytics software can optimize the performance of batteries, further reducing the need for curtailment. By minimizing state of charge errors, these tools provide a better understanding of how much energy can be absorbed by the batteries' (capacity) when there is excess solar or other renewable energy. Properly reporting this state of charge can allow grids to plan necessary curtailment and increase grid stability.
Additionally, predictive analytics can reduce the safety risks associated with batteries, thus improving the overall public image of the sector and encouraging investment. Market incentives such as increased rates or grants for hybrid solar + battery systems or regulatory changes to allow for easier permitting for hybrid systems can incentivize battery development to reduce curtailment requirements. Beyond batteries, energy management systems, virtual power plants, and transmission upgrades can further reduce the need for curtailment.
Enhancing transmission infrastructure is necessary to accommodate increased renewable energy generation and reduce curtailment rates. The Australian Energy markey Operator (AEMO) has recently received funding to increase the National Electricity Markets operational capacity, which could help alleviate curtailment issues.
While curtailment may be the short-term solution as grids adapt to the variable nature of renewables, long-term success of Australia’s energy transition depends on minimizing its necessity.
The bankability and public perception of renewable energy sources relies on minimal curtailment and grid upgrades to support renewables. This adaptation requires a combination of technical advancements, like additional battery storage, regulatory changes, and market support. With ongoing dialogue and policy development, we can reduce the need for curtailment and support the transition to a more renewable energy system, not just in Australia but on a global scale.
Sources:
https://www.pv-magazine-australia.com/2024/06/22/weekend-read-time-to-talk-curtailment/
https://www.lghomebattery.com.au/post/curtailment-the-invisible-problem-of-rooftop-solar
https://sonnen.com.au/blog/energy-curtailment-why-solar-batteries-are-answer/
https://energystoragesolutions.com/energy-storage-the-best-solution-to-the-curtailment-threat/
Elizabeth Oliphant is a California kid, now working in Germany as a Solutions Engineer for ACCURE Battery Intelligence. From a geology background with Fulbright scholarship focused on geothermal energy to a master’s in Energy Systems from the University of Oxford to renewable energy consulting, Elizabeth’s journey to battery industry has taken a few twists. Now as Solutions Engineer she combines her technical understanding with commercial experience as she helps ACCURE expand into new markets.
ACCURE helps companies reduce risk, improve performance, and maximize the business value of battery energy storage. Our predictive analytics solution simplifies the complexity of battery data to make batteries safer, more reliable, and more sustainable. By combining cutting-edge artificial intelligence with deep expert knowledge of batteries, we bring a new level of clarity to energy storage. Today, we support customers worldwide, helping optimize the performance and safety of their battery systems. Visit us at accure.net.