Dr. Kai-Philipp Kairies working in a meetingDr. Kai-Philipp Kairies working in a meeting

This paper will explain:

Members of ACCURE Battery Intelligence have been spearheading the development of battery diagnostic solutions for over a decade. Our journey began as scientists within a research project at RWTH Aachen University, involving 21 private households using first generation home storage systems. From there, we’ve continuously refined our battery diagnostic algorithms and tailored them to industry needs. 

Why This Research Matters

Home storage systems are a pivotal component in driving the decentralized energy transition, and more so – empowering individuals to take part in it. The global market has grown significantly in recent years, with Germany alone being home to 1.5 million installed systems. As the European Batteries Regulation now requires reliable estimates of battery health (typically measured by remaining capacity), this research couldn’t be timelier. 

How Home Storage Systems Work

Home storage systems are ingeniously simple: they charge with surplus photovoltaic (PV) energy during the day and supply this energy to households at night.

While some systems charge as soon as there is surplus PV power (excess-charging strategy), others wait until noon to charge, targeting the PV generation peak (forecast-based strategy). The forecast-based strategy is advantageous for two reasons:

  1. Maximizing PV generation: By reducing the maximum PV feed-in power due to the charge at noon, more PV energy can be generated in total as no curtailment occurs.
  2. Reducing battery aging: Batteries age fast at high SOCs. A delayed charge reduces battery aging because the average SOC is kept lower than systems under the excess-charging strategy.

Figure 1 below shows examples of these two two operational strategy types. The excess-charging system on the left begins charging (positive power) early in the morning, causing it to reach a fully charged state around noon. As a result, it must curtail PV power during midday to comply with the 60% feed-in limit of the subsidy program in this case. In contrast, the forecast-based system on the right delays charging until noon, allowing it to fully utilize the peak PV generation.

Excess-charging vs. forecast-based operational strategy in solar batteries

Figure 1: Excess-charging (left) vs. forecast-based (right) operational strategy. Figure according to Figgener et al. (2024),  https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-024-01620-9

How to Estimate Solar Battery Capacity

Home storage systems are an interesting application for battery diagnostics. Their regular full charge and discharge cycles make it possible to precisely determine capacity. Because of this operational behavior, our method tailors coulomb counting to the specifics of home storage operation: 

  1. Determining end-of-charge and end-of-discharge voltages
  2. Integrating current between these voltages
  3. Accounting for offset current to accurately determine capacity

As shown in Figure 2, the resulting algorithmic state of health (SOH) estimation (blue dots) closely matches the conducted field capacity tests (yellow dots). Using a simplified linear fit (illustrated by the red trendline in Figure 2), the system’s aging rate is determined to be 2.7 percentage points per year. Based on this rate, the system is estimated to reach its end of life of 80% SOH in about 7 years, which coincides with the warranty period given at the time. 

Residential solar battery state of health estimation over time

Figure 2: State of health (SOH) estimation. Algorithmic capacity estimation (blue dots) vs. field capacity tests (yellow dots).  Field measurements for the system began two years after commissioning (see start of x-axis). Figure according to Figgener et al. (2024),  https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-024-01620-9

Our method is validated for lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide (NMC), lithium nickel manganese oxide (LMO), and lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries, delivering robust results across different systems. Overall, we found that home storage systems lose 2-3 percentage points of usable capacity per year. On a positive note, most first-generation products met their warranties by adding a capacity buffer. 

Scaling Up from Lab to Industry 

Scaling up from a scientific study to industrial applications is expectedly difficult. Regarding the study we’re presenting here, the following challenges can be highlighted among many others:

1. Data volume and runtime 

In this study, we analyzed 21 home storage systems, having a cumulative energy capacity of 150 kilowatt hours. At ACCURE, we currently monitor more than 4 gigawatt hours, which is over 25,000 times more data. 

Scaling from these early developments with a smaller--though not insignificant--data set to monitoring such a large storage fleet is difficult and one of the main obstacles we have effectively overcome at ACCURE. One of our core competencies is connecting compact databases to performant cloud-based algorithms using both physics-based models and artificial intelligence.

2. Variety of use cases

When analyzing batteries on a large scale, use cases need to be well understood to develop tailored diagnostic algorithms. For example, while home storage systems have regular full cycles, some utility scale storage systems and electric vehicles might not. This is why we use different analytical approaches to accurately estimate the state of health (SOH). These include various methods such as voltage relaxation analysis or open circuit voltage analysis

3. Customer focus

Customer needs are our central priority. We translate complex scientific methods into easy-to-understand key performance indicators, and support our customers with user-friendly dashboards, error handling tools, and forecasts on the performance, lifetime, and safety of their assets. 

The full paper detailing this 8-year study, can be found in Nature Energy

About ACCURE Battery Intelligence

ACCURE helps companies reduce risk, improve performance, and maximize the business value of battery energy storage. Our predictive analytics solution simplifies the complexity of battery data to make batteries safer, more reliable, and more sustainable. By combining cutting-edge artificial intelligence with deep expert knowledge of batteries, we bring a new level of clarity to energy storage.  Today, we support customers worldwide, helping optimize the performance and safety of their battery systems. Visit us at accure.net.

Jan
Figgener
Senior Battery Expert
About the author

Jan

Figgener

Jan is a Senior Battery Expert at ACCURE covering battery diagnostics and science communication. He evaluates current market developments and closely collaborates with international companies, agencies, and ministries on the topic of battery storage. His research has been published in international journals. In his free time, Jan enjoys playing sports and music.

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